AI / Artificial Intelligence
Why it moved: +46 points at 18:17 UTC, after The Hill: Diplomats ordered to use 'super intelligence' instead of 'artificial intelligence' in Trump push — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 00:06 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 26% |
| 24 Sept, 22:07 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 33% |
| 24 Sept, 18:56 UTC | 36% |
| 24 Sept, 18:17 UTC | 46% |
| 23 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump uses the term AI or Artificial Intelligence during his evening remarks originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 in the East Room. It resolves to No if he does not say those words during that specific event. Readers often mistake the date of the remarks or assume any mention of AI outside this exact speech counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%