Education
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved2 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 16% |
| 18 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 67% |
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%