Crypto / Bitcoin
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$91k
Total volume$105k
Liquidity$105k
Resolves17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 18:23 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 08:10 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions Crypto or Bitcoin during his Midterm Rally in Vandalia, Ohio. This event must take place on October 3, 2026, as originally scheduled. Readers often mistake the location for any rally he hosts rather than this specific date and venue.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%