At least 3 dates cancelled
Why it moved: −14 points at 19:53 UTC, after Billboard: Macklemore Says His Free Palestine Tour ‘Sold Out Immediately,’ Teases ‘Lineups Coming Soon’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Sept, 19:38 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if at least three dates on Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 are cancelled between now and December 12, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the cancellation of other artists' tours or events after the deadline for a valid resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%