Exactly 10 songs
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$42k
Liquidity$42k
Resolves10 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift has exactly 10 songs on the Billboard Hot 100 chart dated October 10, 2026. It resolves to No if she has any other number of songs on that specific chart. Readers often mistake the date of the chart for the date of the VMAs or assume the resolution depends on her total career output rather than this single weekly snapshot.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%