Afghanistan
Why it moved: +25 points at 02:58 UTC, after Times of India: ‘No jealousy’: Jurel reveals what Sooryavanshi does others ‘can’t even dream of’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 20:15 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 19:13 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 16:16 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Sept, 13:36 UTC | 28% |
| 27 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 28% |
| 27 Sept, 12:47 UTC | 28% |
| 27 Sept, 12:08 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 11:40 UTC | 26% |
| 27 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 02:48 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Afghanistan wins the scheduled men's professional Asian Games cricket match against India on September 28, 2026. The outcome is No if Afghanistan does not win that specific match. Readers often mistake general cross-border violence for the required sporting result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%