OpenAI / ChatGPT
Implied probability 89%+5
24-hour volume$12
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves15 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 21 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 89% |
| 20 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 91% |
| 20 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 83% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Oct, 15:31 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 88% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI or ChatGPT airs a qualifying advertisement during the official national 2027 Super Bowl broadcast. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked lawsuit for the resolution criteria, but only the specific ad placement matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 89%
- No 11%