Above 1.5%
Implied probability 83%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves13 Oct 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Social Security Administration's initial announcement of the 2027 cost-of-living adjustment exceeds 1.5%. It resolves to No if that specific adjustment is 1.5% or lower. Readers often mistake the final enacted law for the resolution source, but only the SSA's initial announcement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 83%
- No 17%