Above 15 million
Why it moved: +3 points at 05:28 UTC, after Times of India: As Elon Musk targets mobile industry, AT&T CEO says Starlink’s plan ‘doesn’t line up’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 6 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 34% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if SpaceX reports having more than 15 million Starlink active subscribers in Q3 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AT&T as relevant to the resolution, but only SpaceX's reported subscriber count matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%