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Yes

Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$19k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Yes
0%50%100%6%15 Oct, 15:08 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now6%
15 Oct, 15:08 UTC6%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if a law banning social media for children under 18 becomes effective between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome depends on whether such legislation is enacted into law within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the passage of a bill for its actual enactment as law.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 6%
  • No 94%

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