At least 45
Implied probability 94%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$16k
Liquidity$16k
Resolves21 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 23 Sept, 12:27 UTC | 94% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Box Office Mojo lists at least 45 wide film releases on its Domestic Release Schedule during Q4 2026. It resolves to No if that count falls below 45. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Busan for the source of truth, but only the specific Box Office Mojo schedule counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%