Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Implied probability 46%−2
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 22:05 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if AOC wins the Democratic nomination for the 2028 New York Senate seat. The outcome is No if she does not win that specific nomination. Readers often mistake her testing a bid or running in a different election for winning this nomination.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 46%
- No 54%