Tom Cotton
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves21 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 2 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Tom Cotton becomes the first person confirmed by the Senate as a Supreme Court Justice before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if he does not meet this condition within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his phone number for confirmation of his judicial appointment.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%