Above $1.75
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 17:33 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the average hourly cost of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute exceeds $1.75 during February 2027. It resolves to No if that average stays at or below $1.75 for the entire month. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a $5,999 Surface Dev Box as the relevant price point, but only the RTX 5090 compute cost counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%