Above 75
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$170k
Total volume$237k
Liquidity$237k
Resolves12 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 8% |
| 4 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 36% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if The Social Reckoning has a Tomatometer score above 75 on October 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves to No if the score is 75 or lower at that time. Readers often mistake the deadline for the release date of the film instead of the specific timestamp on October 12, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%