Above 85
Implied probability 1%−7
24-hour volume$35k
Total volume$35k
Liquidity$35k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 4% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 8% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Klara and the Sun achieves a Tomatometer score above 85 on October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%