Above 85
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$63k
Total volume$146k
Liquidity$146k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 19:31 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 17% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 18% |
| 18 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 21% |
| 15 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 28% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Tomatometer score for Clayface exceeds 85 on October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The outcome is No if the score is 85 or lower at that time. Readers often mistake the deadline date for the release date of the film.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%