Arizona
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 17 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Arizona legislature adopts new congressional district maps between the issuance date and November 1, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the news headline about legal battles for the actual legislative action required for resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%