Italy
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Italy officially recognizes Palestine before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about nuclear power for the relevant event, but only the recognition of Palestine counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%