Yes
Why it moved: +4 points at 23:50 UTC, after Billboard: Taylor Swift Joined by Caitlin Clark at Sunday’s Chiefs Game — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Blake Lively and Taylor Swift appear together in public between January 21, 2026, at 1:30 PM and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if this specific event does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about Taylor Swift attending a Chiefs game as sufficient evidence for a Yes resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%