Before Nov 1, 2026
The market favoured No at 82% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$38k
Liquidity$38k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Why it moved: +79 points at 18:56 UTC, after The Hill: Who is Katie Zacharia, potential new White House press secretary? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 98% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 97% |
| 8 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 18% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump announces a new White House Press Secretary via any public channel, such as Truth Social, after this question is posted and before November 1, 2026. The announcement must explicitly name the individual holding the role, including acting or interim positions.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%