Farmer / Farming
Implied probability 99%+17
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +25 points at 23:46 UTC, after Just In News: 3 takeaways from the MAHA Summit — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Sept, 23:33 UTC | 74% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if David Friedberg explicitly says the word "Farmer" or "Farming" during the MAHA Summit originally scheduled for September 29, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not use those specific terms at that event. Readers often mistake any mention of agriculture in general headlines for a resolution, but only Friedberg's direct speech at the summit counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%