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Any member of KATSEYE

Implied probability 40%+31
24-hour volume$311
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves31 Dec 2026

Why it moved: +31 points at 09:02 UTC, after Billboard: KATSEYE Perform ‘Animal’ and ‘Hootie Frutti’ in ‘SNL’ Debut — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Any member of KATSEYE
0%50%100%40%26 Sept, 08:47 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now40%
27 Sept, 09:02 UTC40%
26 Sept, 08:47 UTC9%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if any member of KATSEYE performs or is announced to perform at the MTV Video Music Awards 2026 within the official event timeframe. It resolves to No if this does not happen. Readers often mistake the linked SNL appearance for the qualifying event, but only the VMAs count.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 40%
  • No 60%

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