Tony
Implied probability 8%−1
24-hour volume$140
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 20:36 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 9% |
| 24 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 01:58 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tony is nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he is not nominated. Readers often mistake the announcement of honors at other film festivals, like the Evolution Mallorca Film Fest, as a nomination for the Oscars.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%