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Dune: Part Three

Implied probability 83%−1
24-hour volume$116
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
How the odds moved · Dune: Part Three
0%50%100%83%20 Oct, 13:46 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now83%
21 Oct, 14:39 UTC83%
20 Oct, 13:46 UTC84%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Dune: Part Three receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. The outcome depends entirely on the official nominee list released by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Readers often mistake box office success or critical acclaim for a nomination, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 83%
  • No 17%

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