Na Hong-jin
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Na Hong-jin receives a nomination for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Singapore Film Festival as the deciding factor, but only an official Oscar nomination counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%