Christopher Nolan
Why it moved: −3 points at 12:40 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: Casey Affleck on Matt Damon Rivalry, a Chris Nolan Phone Call and Being a Proud “Hollywood Outsider” — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 94% |
| 27 Sept, 12:17 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Christopher Nolan receives a nomination for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of nominees for the actual award ceremony date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%