Above 40.5%
Implied probability 9%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves17 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Ramp AI Index reports an OpenAI model adoption rate above 40.5% for September 2026. It resolves to No if that rate is 40.5% or lower. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about revenue for the actual resolution metric, but only the specific Ramp AI Index data counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%