J.J. McCarthy
Implied probability 98%+66
24-hour volume$821
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Why it moved: +89 points at 19:18 UTC, after SkySports: Giants trade for McCarthy after Dart injury — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 13:39 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if J.J. McCarthy is traded before December 1, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for a completed trade rather than a proposal or rumor.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%