Sam Darnold: 1+
Implied probability 15%+7
24-hour volume$136k
Total volume$138k
Liquidity$138k
Resolves29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 17:38 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 23:42 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 06:48 UTC | 10% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 01:25 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sam Darnold scores at least one touchdown in the Seattle versus Washington game on September 27, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not score a touchdown or if the game does not take place as scheduled. Readers often mistake the resolution source for general NFL statistics rather than this specific official game result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 15%
- No 85%