KC Chiefs wins by over 10.5 points
Why it moved: −4 points at 13:29 UTC, after SI Feed: Chiefs vs. Dolphins: NFL Week 3 Preview, Score Predictions — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 46% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 51% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 51% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 51% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Sept, 18:41 UTC | 50% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Sept, 08:04 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Sept, 07:04 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Kansas City Chiefs win their game against the Miami Dolphins by more than 10.5 points. It resolves to No if they win by 10 points or fewer, lose the game, or if the game does not take place on the originally scheduled date of September 27, 2026. Readers often mistake the margin of victory for a simple win or miss the specific deadline requirement.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 45%
- No 55%