San Francisco
Implied probability 79%+1
24-hour volume$170k
Total volume$353k
Liquidity$353k
Resolves22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 14:34 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 78% |
| 18 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 79% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 79% |
| 17 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 78% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 78% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 77% |
| 17 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 78% |
| 17 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 77% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 78% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 77% |
| 15 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 77% |
| 15 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 78% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 77% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 77% |
| 14 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 77% |
| 14 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 78% |
| 14 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 77% |
| 14 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Oct, 07:01 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 77% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 78% |
| 12 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 77% |
| 12 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 78% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 77% |
| 12 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 78% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 77% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 78% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the San Francisco 49ers win their game against the Washington Commanders scheduled for October 19, 2026. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific game. Readers often mistake the linked story about a different game as the deciding factor, but only the outcome of the October 19, 2026 matchup matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%