Las Vegas
Implied probability 31%
24-hour volume$64k
Total volume$89k
Liquidity$89k
Resolves20 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 01:08 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 29% |
| 12 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 03:37 UTC | 30% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 32% |
| 10 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 30% |
| 10 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 33% |
| 9 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Las Vegas Raiders win their game against the Buffalo Bills on October 18, 2026. It resolves to No if they lose or tie. Readers often mistake the linked Chiefs-Raiders story for the relevant event, but only the outcome of the Bills-Raiders matchup counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 69%