Las Vegas
Implied probability 38%+1
24-hour volume$254k
Total volume$709k
Liquidity$709k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 36% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 12:13 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Oct, 10:10 UTC | 43% |
| 3 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 06:19 UTC | 45% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 43% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Las Vegas Raiders win their game against the New England Patriots on October 11, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this market for resolving based on the linked Chiefs vs. Raiders game.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%