Kansas City
Why it moved: −3 points at 20:50 UTC, after SI Feed: Dolphins Week 3 Instant Takeaways: Good Step Forward, Still Long Way To Go — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 28 Sept, 11:46 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Sept, 19:48 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kansas City wins its game against the Las Vegas Raiders on October 4, 2026. It resolves to No if they lose or do not play that specific matchup. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Dolphins for the relevant event, but only the Chiefs-Raiders game matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 66%
- No 34%