1: Buffalo / 2: New England / 3: New York J / 4: Miami
Why it moved: +11 points at 19:07 UTC, after www.espn.com: Bills WR Moore injures shoulder, unlikely to return vs. Patriots — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 4 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 67% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 59% |
| 29 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 18:19 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Buffalo finishes first, New England second, New York Jets third, and Miami fourth in the AFC East at the end of the 2026-27 regular season. It resolves to No for any other final standing order. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline as the end of the playoffs rather than the conclusion of the regular season.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%