Stays with Golden State or Retires
Implied probability 98%+1
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$1.7M
Resolves21 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 23 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 98% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Stephen Curry signs with the Golden State Warriors or announces his retirement before October 21, 2026. It resolves to No if he joins a different team or remains unsigned past that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for the start of the next season rather than the specific October 21, 2026 cutoff.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%