Stays with Philadelphia or Retires
Why it moved: −3 points at 20:45 UTC, after www.espn.com: Maxey: Healthy Embiid 'changes everything' for Sixers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 96% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 99% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Joel Embiid’s next team is either the Philadelphia 76ers or he retires before October 21, 2026. The deadline for this event is strictly October 21, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked story about LeBron James as the determining factor, but only Embiid's status matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%