At least 50 million
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 19:01 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the number one show on Netflix reaches at least 50 million views on the chart published on October 6, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the publication date of the chart for the deadline to accumulate views.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%