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Below: Limited Series

Implied probability 81%+81
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves13 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +85 points at 07:38 UTC, after News Feed: Below — Josh Hartnett stars in Netflix’s answer to Widow’s Bay — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Below: Limited Series
0%50%100%81%7 Oct, 07:22 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now81%
8 Oct, 07:38 UTC85%
7 Oct, 07:22 UTC0%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the show reaches the number one spot on the Netflix Top 10 US chart published on October 13, 2026. The outcome is No if it does not reach that position on that specific date. Readers often mistake the publication date for the release date of the show.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 81%
  • No 19%

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