Florida
Why it moved: −16 points at 18:47 UTC, after www.espn.com: Mizzou rises, Florida falls after showdown; AP top 5 stand pat — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 4 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 68% |
| 3 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Florida ranks number one in the Men's College Basketball AP Poll for Week 1 of the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if the team does not hold that top spot at that specific time. Readers often mistake the linked college football ranking news for the relevant basketball poll data.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%