Duke
Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves29 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 16% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Duke ranks first in the Week 1 AP Poll for the 2026-27 men's college basketball season. It resolves to No if Duke does not hold that top spot at that specific time. Readers often mistake the linked headline about preseason favorites as the deciding factor, but only the official Week 1 poll counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%