7+ wins
Why it moved: −52 points at 01:48 UTC, after SI Feed: Winners and Losers from Wisconsin's 24-20 Win at No. 13 Penn State — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 01:48 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 57% |
| 26 Sept, 00:09 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Wisconsin college football team wins at least seven games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than seven games. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on playoff results rather than just the regular season record.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%