12 wins
Implied probability 44%+1
24-hour volume$113
Total volume$30k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 15 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 44% |
| 14 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 45% |
| 14 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 45% |
| 13 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 44% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 44% |
| 11 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 44% |
| 11 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 44% |
| 11 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 45% |
| 11 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 44% |
| 11 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 45% |
| 10 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Notre Dame wins at least 12 games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if the team falls short of that total. Readers often mistake the linked upset loss for a final count, but only the 2026 regular-season record determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 44%
- No 56%