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4+ wins

Implied probability 42%−5
24-hour volume$59
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves20 Dec 2026

Why it moved: −5 points at 21:59 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech prediction, odds, time: Week 5 college football Friday picks by proven model — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · 4+ wins
0%50%100%42%30 Sept, 21:23 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now42%
1 Oct, 21:59 UTC42%
30 Sept, 21:23 UTC47%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the Boston College football team wins at least four games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than four games. Readers often mistake the linked story about Pitt for the actual team being tracked, but only Boston College's wins count toward this outcome.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 42%
  • No 58%

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