Iowa
Why it moved: +25 points at 23:00 UTC, after SI Feed: Three Storylines I’m Watching Most in Michigan’s Big Ten Opener Against Iowa — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Sept, 19:45 UTC | 49% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Iowa ranks in the top 25 of the College Football AP Poll Week 5 Rankings for the 2026-27 season. The outcome depends solely on this specific poll release expected on September 27, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked story about a game prediction as the deciding factor, but only the official AP ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 74%
- No 26%