Arizona wins by over 9.5 points
Implied probability 55%+1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 55% |
| 23 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Arizona wins by more than 9.5 points in the game against Washington State originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. It resolves to No if Arizona does not win by that margin or if the game is canceled or postponed without being played.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%