Iowa
Implied probability 34%
24-hour volume$14k
Total volume$57k
Liquidity$57k
Resolves28 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 24 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 34% |
| 22 Sept, 07:04 UTC | 35% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Iowa wins the college football game against Michigan scheduled for September 26, 2026. It resolves to No if Iowa does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake this prediction about Rece Davis for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%