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Texas

Implied probability 75%+62
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves14 Jan 2027

Why it moved: +62 points at 14:05 UTC, after SI Feed: Texas Loses No. 1 Spot to New Contender in Updated College Football Rankings — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Texas
0%50%100%75%2 Oct, 13:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now75%
3 Oct, 14:05 UTC75%
2 Oct, 13:43 UTC13%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Texas ranks number one in the College Football AP Poll Week 10 rankings for the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if Texas does not hold that top spot when those specific rankings release. Readers often mistake the linked story about Florida for the relevant data source, but only the official AP Poll Week 10 rankings count.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 75%
  • No 25%

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