NewsMarkets

Markets

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Implied probability 96%+96
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves11 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +98 points at 14:10 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: AI Whiplash Jolts Stocks as Sentiment Lurches From Fear to Greed — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · AI / Artificial Intelligence
0%50%100%96%26 Sept, 13:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now96%
27 Sept, 14:10 UTC98%
26 Sept, 13:43 UTC0%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Bill Gates mentions artificial intelligence during his appearance on Meet the Press that was originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not mention it or if the interview does not take place as planned. Readers often mistake the actual broadcast date for the deadline, but the rule depends strictly on the original schedule.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 96%
  • No 4%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market